Friday, May 6, 2016

The Future of "Bernie Revolution" From a Historical Perspective

Whether Bernie’s run for the Democratic Party nomination has started a revolution or will soon be forgotten ultimately depends on its ability to form alliances with social groups outside the Democratic Party orbit.  This means forming alliances with groups that liberal Democrats love to disparage: Tea Partiers, religious groups, Trump supporters, militias and kindred anti-establishment groups.  Paradoxical as it may sound, forming alliances that cross over socio-economic class lines is a key to a successful social movement, and eventually a successful social revolution.
To successfully challenge the status quo, a movement needs to effectively challenge the existing power structures underlying the status, even if that challenge is initially defeated. Take for example the Mau Mau Uprising in Kenya in the 1950s. It was brutally defeated by the Brits, leaving a really dark spot on the British history comparable to Nazi war crimes.  The fact that the Brits have not been tried for their war crimes in Kenya illustrates Herman Goering’s line in Nuremberg that international justice is but victors’ justice.  But I am digressing.  The important lesson of the Mau Mau Uprising is that it challenged the colonial power structures to the point that a few years later the Brits gave up their colonial rule in Kenya, which led to the country's independence.
One of the key elements underpinning British colonial rule in Kenya was ethnic divisions of the indigenous population, intentionally exacerbated by the colonial administration.  The Mau Mau Uprising started as a rebellion of the rural Kikuyu groups forced off the land by the white settlers, but eventually started to form alliances with the nascent urban working class. Although Mau Mau failed to bridge the internal ethnic divisions and were eventually defeated in the battle fields, their sent a signal to the British colonial administration that if the business as usual continues, the Brits will not be able to hold for long and the country may go Communist. So they decided to support more moderate Kenyan nationalist factions led by Jomo Kenyatta instead, and eventually conceding to Kenya’s national independence shortly after suppressing the Mau Mau Uprising.
A similar lesson can be learned from the Civil Rights movement led by Martin Luther King. The movement was tolerated and even revered by the white liberal establishment until MLK started emphasizing the class dimension of Black poverty. That challenged the fundamental power structure of the US society - the rule of the "market" and resultant class stratification. Consequently, MLK got assassinated, nominally by a right wing lunatic while the white liberal establishment was looking the other way.
To be sure, the success of Kenya’s nationalists and US Civil Rights movement was aided by international power struggle aka ‘Cold War.”  The “specter of Communism haunting the world” was real and Western bourgeoisie really feared it.  They were ready to make some concessions to moderate social movements stave off more radical ones.  Once that specter faded, so did the willingness of the bourgeoisie to compromise. 
However, the lesson from these past struggles is that to pose a successful challenge to the status quo power structures, a protest movement must counter the divide and rule policies through which these power structures maintain their hegemony.  Liberal identity politics based on socio-demographic characteristics: women, Blacks, Whites, gay, religion etc. is a part of that divide and rule strategy that underpins the neoliberal hegemony of the "free" market.  This identity politics redefines the social effects of the market system as the effects of individual failures: lack of proper education or work ethics, prejudice, ignorance and the like.   
Although fringe radicals never ceased to emphasize the centrality of social class and the market in the system of inequality and exploitation, the mainstream liberals remained willingly oblivious to it in favor of their infatuation with identity politics memes.  Bernie Sanders is the first mainstream political figure that reintroduced the centrality of capitalist markets and socio-economic class to the mainstream political discourse.  Even his liberal detractors noticed that, and got pretty much scared by it I suppose.  But Bernie did something of far greater importance for a successful revolution – he started crossing identity politics divisions reaching out to groups typically shunned by liberal Democrats, such as white working class, Christian groups, or even gun owners or at least refusing to alienate them if not actually courting them). 
This explains why the establishment, especially the liberal establishment, is so hell bent to defeat Bernie’s challenge.  Liberal Democrats play the role the Kenyan natives fighting alongside the British against the Mau Mau insurgents.  Or to use an analogy that is closer to home – quislings collaborating with enemy to help it conquer their own country. 
To make a difference, Bernie’s revolution needs to credibly challenge the tyranny of the "free" market and its intimate connection to power. The key word here is credible, as in credible threat. A bunch of middle class kids engaged in identity politics are not credible threat to the status quo, not even close, whereas a bunch of dispossessed peasants joining forces with urban workers in Kenya posed such a credible threat to the oligarchy. It follows that to credibly challenge the neoliberal hegemony, Bernie’s revolution must effectively undo the years of divide and conquer identity politics that brought this hegemony in the fists place.  This means forming strategic alliances with groups traditionally disparaged shunned by liberal Democrats – white working class supporting Trump, Christian groups, militias and similar anti-establishment groups.
I am not, of course, suggesting converting members of these groups to the liberal or radical leftist faith, force them to abandon their core values and beliefs in favor of ours, or engage in any other form of morality play.  What I suggest instead is that instead of trying to convert them – try to DO something with them instead, something that will further common political and economic interests.  I do not need to believe in the supernatural or in the magic effects of guns on public safety to work with church goers and gun owners to save my town from flood or tornado.  In such situations, people set aside their ideological differences and work together to secure what is best for their interest.
At this point, the common interest of people who work for a living, instead of collecting rent form their social position and status (investors, CEOs, experts, superstar professionals and academics, etc.), is to break the neoliberal hegemony that threatens their living standards.  However, to effectively fight that hegemony, people who work for a living need an “army” i.e. a political party.  At this point, they do not have such a party, because the system is monopolized by two parties that are controlled by neoliberal factions service the interests of the neoliberal elite that lives off collecting rent from their social position and status.  This means that either a new party should be created or the neoliberal elite in both parties taken away from the helms of both parties.
What does it men in practical terms?  What is to be done?  The long term strategy should involve what in social movement literature is called “frame bridging” or forming tactical alliances with groups that may not share the movement’s ideology, but share some of its goals – groups that are typically shunned by liberal Democrats This may include different anti-establishment players in different regions, Christian groups, veteran groups, gun owner clubs, libertarians, even militias – as long as everyone is willing to cooperate to achieve common objectives while respecting each other ideological differences.
The short term strategy, in turn should involve not resisting challengers to the neoliberal hegemony that comes from different sides. In this election year, Trump is clearly a challenge to the neoliberal hegemony, so it makes sense for those who take Bernie’s revolution seriously not to interfere with that challenge, even though they may feel revolted by what he says on the stump.  Sort of like Americans and Russians disliking each other but not interfering with each other’s military operations against ISIS.  A logical consequence for Bernie’s “revolutionaries” is to vote for ANYONE BUT CLINTON should she gets the Democratic Party nomination.  This means the typical approach of holding one’s note and voting for the lesser evil – in this instance Trump – or for those who do not have the stomach for such strong odors – voting for Jill Stein.  To be sure, Jill has not chance of winning the election, but she has the power of leveraging the opposition to neoliberal elite in the Democratic Party.  However, the benefit for voting for Jill Stein instead of Trump is that that it creates a visible public record of opposition against neoliberal elite in the Democratic party, instead of wasting that vote by voting for Trump or not voting at all. 
The ANYONE BUT CLINTON vote is the move that makes most tactical sense for Bernie’s “revolutionaries” – so do not waste that opportunity.  Do not be duped by liberal quislings in the Democratic Party.  Do not support collaborators with your class enemies.  Make alliances with forces that challenge your class enemies, or their quislings in both parties.


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