Sunday, December 11, 2016

Neo-feudalism

Democracies are not guaranteed by pieces of paper but created out of a power struggle of the industrial era and reflect the balance of power between industrial bourgeoisie, professional and laboring classes and their factions. In a way, they were a compromise that gave these classes a slice of pie roughly proportional to the power they wield.
As the "new economy" replaced industrialism, democracy has outlived its usefulness, as the power balance has shifted. The top echelons of bourgeoisie have a vastly greater power than the laboring classes, and the political system reflects this balance of power. Democracy as a compromise is being replaced by "electoral autocracies"  that more closely resembles feudalism than industrial capitalism.
"Share economy" represented by Uber and Airbnb is the future. In this economy sharecroppers apply their labor power and tools to lord's property to eek a meager living while the lords get the lion's share of all created wealth. The elements of the political system reflecting this new power balance are already in place - the autocratic state whose main and only function is to protect private property of the oligarchs through any means necessary - deception and propaganda, and if this does not work - through brute military force. 

Street protest in this neo-feudal world order is what peasant rebellions were in feudalism. There were many such rebellions, but all were crushed by the lords' superior organization and military resources. The only way peasants could escape the lords' iron fist was the cities in which industrial economy was growing. Likewise, the only way that the 21st century peasants and sharecroppers can escape the "new economy" oligarchy is to an alternative economic arrangement that is superior to that of the neo-feudal system. 

I am not sure what that alternative economic arrangement is, or even if it will have a chance to be established before the "new" or rather neo-feudal economy will cause a destruction that will move us back to the stone age.   If I were to make a guess, I would bet on a vision outlined by Oskar Lange that combines collective ownership of the means of production with rational distribution system based on market principles.  However, such system cannot emerge without material resources - specifically, people and geographic space in which it can  physically function.  I can imagine a large group of people wanting to escape the neo-feudal world order and having sufficient knowledge to create an alternative.  It is the geographic space where my imagination stops.  An enclave in a world dominated by the neo-feudal or even old fashioned capitalist world order will likely end up as thousands of similar experiments conducted in the past - it will either disappear or be assimilated into the world that surrounds it. 

There must be a different way out of it.

TBC


Friday, November 11, 2016

Trump and Chinggis Khaan – travels in neoliberal reality

People vote with their hearts not with their wallets.  They cast their votes to express their emotions rather than maximize their economic interests.  It is so, because unless they are businessmen expecting kickbacks from supporting a particular candidate, the outcomes of elections either have no impact whatsoever on the economic situation of the great majority of voters, or the impact is so minimal, so removed in time from the election, and so manipulated by political spin that the connection between the two is lost for most people. 

On the other hand, the emotional gratification from the election outcome is real and instant.  It is the same kind of gratification as one provided by a football game.  “Our” team won, so “we” can vicariously bask in that victory.  In the everyday life, “we” may be nobodies living dull uneventful lives, bossed around at work doing menial tasks, ridiculed by those with higher social standing, and derided by the elite media.  However, on that one night “our boys” kicked ass, and that victory gave “us” a sense of pride and respectability, a vicarious act of humiliation of those who humiliate “us” in everyday life – the bosses, the snobs, the elites. 

I realized that when a while ago I visited Ulaanbaatar, arguably one of the least glamorous capitals of the world.  Mongolia is dirt poor and heavily dependent on the outside world.  In the past it was the Soviet Union, today it is foreign mining companies.  Almost everything (save local cashmere) in the stores is imported schlock and sold at outrageously inflated prices, even by the American standard.  The city itself is pretty drab, a fine example of the nondescript Stalinist architecture built on the cheap.  And there is virtually nothing outside the city, save the truly astonishing desert landscape. 

The center of this rather depressing city is occupied by modern government buildings adorned by statues of the national heroes, including a monumental statue of Chinggis Khaan.  In fact, the local veneration of this historical figure becomes immediately apparent upon arrival, as the Ulaanbaatar international airport is also named after Chinggis Khaan. 



Understanding Chinggis Khaan is the key to understanding Donald Trump. Chinggis Khaan may appear rather odious to a European traveler, but he is a local boy who once kicked ass of those who today the Mongolians, hat in hand, ask for assistance.  The image of the fearsome leader who once terrified Russia and Europe vicariously compensates for the deficiencies and humiliations that the modernity dealt to this impoverished desert country.  Likewise, Donald Trump may be a boorish troglodyte to the polite Ivy League educated professionals, but for the unwashed ‘deplorables’ humiliated by the “new global economy’ he is a local boy who outfoxed the ‘liberal elite.’

Unlike the Mongolians, the humiliation of the non-college credentialed Americans is more symbolic than economic.  Their standards of living may be stagnant, but they are still decent by the world standards.  Not as high as those in the “socialist” European Union, but head and shoulders above those in Mongolia and, for that matter, most “Global South” countries.  What has changed is the conditions of their work.  Gone are the days when a person with a high school diploma could obtain a decent job for life that provided decent living standards for the entire family.  Gone are the days where children were looking up to their working class parents as examples to follow. 

Back in the old country, I remember my best primary school friend Pawel, a son of a factory worker, who saw his father as his role model and wanted to become a factory worker himself.  Upon graduation from the grade school, our ways parted – he went to a trade school while I went to a college bound high school.  But our friendship did not end then.  We were still hanging out together, and I pretty much envied his working class status, making things instead of pushing paper, the ability to control heavy machinery, the shop floor action instead of classroom boredom.  At one point, bored with high school drudgery, I decided to join my friend at the shop floor.  My friend quickly taught me how to operate a lathe, but soon the instructor became suspicious and asked if I was enrolled in the school.  I replied that I was a high school student but I was contemplating transferring to a vocational school.  The instructor did not buy it, of course, and ordered me to go back to my high school. 

Years later I traversed central Pennsylvania with my ex who was a social worker.  We visited a number of little towns – some, like Bellefonte, incredibly cute and catering to tourists and the faculty of the Penn State University located in the nearby State College, but most other were shitholes with no charm and no economy.  Their occupants were mostly working class retirees too poor to live elsewhere, while the young people either left or worked a few menial service jobs that were still available.  Altoona, once the “railroad capital of the world” is now a sleepy small town served by one crappy Amtrak train per day that few people ride.  As a son of Polish immigrants who grew up in one of those shitty working class towns near Pittsburgh and later became a journalist explained to me, far from looking up to their working class parents, the young people do everything to distance themselves from them and escape the hopelessness of life in their towns.  This situation is not unique to Pennsylvania, of course, and one can see plenty of such places across the Northeastern rust belt – Ohio, Michigan, West Virginia.

The electoral map shows that this is the inhabitants of these shitty, hopeless towns who delivered Pennsylvania, Michigan and Ohio, and with them the nation, to Donald Trump.  Most of the people whom I met in my travels to these places were not racist deplorable monsters as the Clinton campaign portrayed them.  To be sure, they did not have the eloquence of college educated professionals, and what they said could be rather offensive to the liberal sensibilities.  But if you listened to them instead passing a judgment, you would soon discover that it was their fear and their despair that was talking rather than racism and bigotry. 

A West Virginia roofer, whom I once met in a laundromat in Baltimore, started the conversation with a long diatribe denouncing Blacks, but when instead of joining him I just shook my head, he opened up and told me his story.  He came to Baltimore from one of those shitty working class towns looking for work, and what he saw scared him.  At that time, Baltimore resembled a war zone – you could hear shootings and police helicopters almost every day.  I can only imagine what an uneducated person from a sleepy small town, whose image of a big city is based on TV actions shows, must have felt.  At the end, he felt ashamed of what he initially said, asserting that he was not a racist.  I believed him, but I also knew that when he returned to his shitty West Virginia town, he likely used the same racist language with his buddies.

Portraying Trump voters as deplorable bigots is no different from portraying Mongolians erecting the statues of Chinggis Khaan as bloodthirsty savages.  It is based on a profound misunderstanding of human psychology and the emotional function that figures like Trump and Chinggis Khaan play.  This function is very similar to that played by religion. To quote Marx: “Religious suffering is, at one and the same time, the expression of real suffering and a protest against real suffering. Religion is the sigh of the oppressed creature, the heart of a heartless world, and the soul of soulless conditions. It is the opium of the people.”  By erecting the symbols of the “glorious past” –or for that matter “glorious future” – in which “our boys” kick ass of those who we think humiliate or inflict pain on us today, we create a parallel universe, an alternative reality in which our pain and humiliation is vicariously avenged and erased.  From that point of view, voting for Trump has the same emotional roots as women dressing in pantsuits and voting for Clinton to vicariously avenge gender discrimination. 

By the same token, people who live full and rewarding lives, professionals who find their work fulfilling and their future bright, employees who do not have to justify their existence to stave off being made redundant, workers proud to be role models to their children – do not need such emotional surrogates to alleviate their humiliation and suffering.  Work is not only the activity to which virtually all of us devote most of our time (and increasingly so), but what also defines who we are and where we stand in society, neoliberal identity politics notwithstanding.  Give people decent and fulfilling jobs – and they will identify with them.  They will think of themselves as writers, artists, doctors, professors, teachers, engineers, technicians and skilled workers.  Give them shitty, meaningless jobs on which they are constantly bossed around and asked to justify their existence, or take their jobs away altogether – they start identifying themselves by whatever is left of their socially constructed humanity – being Black, being American, being Christian, Muslim or Jewish, being a woman, or even being a redneck. 


Those who try to link the rise of populist reaction and reverence of “strong man” figures like Trump, or for that matter Chinggis Khaan, to economic hardship look in the right direction, but do not see the right thing.  It is not the economic conditions per se, but the human conditions of producing economic output that have degraded.  In the era of unprecedented economic prosperity, the work of most people has been degraded to meaningless drudgery, menial tasks, uncertain, precarious status, bullshit performance evaluations, and longer working hours.  And to what end?  To enrich a few entrepreneurial shysters who are not accountable to anyone and call people whose work they exploit moochers.  Unless this changes, the dissatisfaction and humiliation of the toiling masses will find periodic outlets in populist outbursts and seemingly irrational rejection of technocratic managers in favor of charismatic leaders offering illusory promises of avenging that humiliation.

Saturday, September 24, 2016

Idealistic materialism

One of the most widely spread misconceptions of the American culture is that it is "materialistic," which is commonly understood as being obsessed with money. Even if this perception were true - which it is not - equating materialism with obsession with money is equating something with its opposite, such is virus with health or, to borrow from Orwell, slavery with freedom and war with peace.
In a literal sense, money is a symbolic representation of material resources, an abstract sign representing something material. This is the opposite of "material" and in the literal sense being obsessed with money is being obsessed with something symbolic and immaterial.
One may counter this by saying that people are not obsessed with money itself but rather with what money can buy. Fair enough. However, if this obsession with what money can buy were to be an expression of "materialism", what money can buy would have to be material. To be sure, some things that money can buy are material, such as food, clothing, shelter or cure of illness. The latter can be quite expensive in the US of A and even bankrupt some people. But material things are not how most people spend their money. Most people spend their money on symbolic representations of who they "wannabe."
Take for example housing, singularly the largest personal expenditure category according to the BLS statistics - over 34% of average annual expenditures nationwide. To put this number in a perspective, food accounts for less than 12%, gasoline and clothing - for about 4% each, and health care - for less that 7% (http://www.bls.gov/cex/csxann13.pdf). Housing, as most other goods, combine both material and immaterial or symbolic aspects - shelter from the element and symbolic representation of one's social identity or status. So how much is each?
One way to determine it is to compare the cost of home ownership to the cost of renting. According to the same source, the average cost of home ownership is about $6.3k per year, and the cost of renting is about $2.9k. This means that people pay on average, about $3.4k a year for "ownership" - which is a symbolic category. This represents 117% of the cost of material good (shelter). In reality, that number is much higher because rental prices are much higher as they would have been if most rental units were cooperatively owned. For example, I used to pay about $600 a month for a cooperatively owned 4 bedroom apartment, comparing to about $1,200 - $1,500 in commercial rent for a similar unit in that area. Based on that, the actual cost of shelter - if arranged for utility maximization - is about 50% of the current rent or about $1.5k per year on average. The "ownership" premium is thus $4.8k per year or 320% of the actual utility cost.
Of course, the same applies to other goods and services - clothing, transportation, consumer electronics etc. If the above calculations are indicative, people spend about 25% of their money - or about $12k per year on average - on material goods, and 75% ($35k per year) on symbolic ones, representing their social identity or status. For high earning households, those percentage are even more skewed toward the symbolic spending. The material needs of a billionaire are not that much different from those of a minimum wage worker. It therefore can be assumed that some 99% of the income of the top 1% is spent on symbolic "goods" - mainly social status and power (mansions, jets, yachts, politicians, whores etc.)
In short, Americans spend most of their money - some 75% on average- on immaterial and symbolic purchases which they are bamboozled into buying by the mythology of "ownership" and other marketing brainwashing. Only about the quarter of their spending is directed toward maximization of material utility.
This leads to the following conclusions:
1. People in the US can reduce their spending by about 75% without suffering any decline in the material standards of living, if the overarching goal of consumption is utility maximization rather than social identity and status expression.
2. Since marketing is one of the main mechanisms promoting spending on social identity and status, eliminating marketing altogether would actually maximize material utility.
3. Nearly the entire wealth of the top 1% can be confiscated without jeopardizing the material well being of the owners. The confiscated wealth can be used to maximize material utility such as public transportation, cooperative housing, or public health care.
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Thursday, August 25, 2016

The folly of lesser evilism

The US elections serve a similar purpose to that they served in the Soviet bloc countries. This purpose is not to decide policy direction, but to select which of the pre-approved party apparatchiks will preside over the policy direction decided by the ruling oligarchy. The other purpose of elections in both, the US and the Soviet bloc, is the creation of a Potemkin village of democracy - establishing a participatory ritual for the masses to create an illusion that they can influence things. Like magic or prayer to secure good crops or a successful outcome of an expedition.
Participating in this electoral ritual is perpetuating the lie it is meant to uphold i.e. that the people have say in the political process. A far more rational approach is to stop participating in it, and look for alternatives. It may or may not give the people greater say in politics, but it is rather certain that the continuation of this ritual by accepting the range of options handed down by the ruling oligarchy will not give them that say. So it makes more sense to vote for Greens or Libertarians than voting for the "lesser evil" i.e. Democrats or Republicans. This act of dissent may not tear the wall of bi-partisan monopoly right away, but if it continues long enough, it will eventually crack it - just like Eastern European dissidents eventually toppled the Berlin wall.
When I lived on the other side of the Iron Curtain, I and many of my friends made the point of not participating in elections there. Our rationale was that elections were a fraud and refusal to participate in them would expose their fraudulent nature. At one point, a group of my friends decided to go one step further and organize public boycott of an upcoming election. They were caught and arrested. At that time, I moved to another city and did not actively participate in that effort, so after spending a few nights in jail I was let go. My friends, however, were not so lucky and received prison sentences.
One may ask - why taking that risk? Why not going for the "lesser evil" and vote for the least obnoxious party apparatchik? One answer to this question may be provided by the fact that some 20 years after my friend went to jail for organizing that boycott of fraudulent elections, the system eventually collapsed and my friend became a prominent journalist in the post-communist system. His dissent paid off, eventually.
So when the US liberals try to scare me into voting for the lesser evil, my reaction is "stop being such fucking cowards. People elsewhere took far greater risks to make their voice count - they were beaten, arrested, sent to prison, and sometimes even shot. In the US, the risk is limited to having to listen to asinine political harangues coming from the presidential pulpit. This is the risk that everyone can take without jeopardizing one's safety or well being. So take it, if you really want change."

Wednesday, July 13, 2016

Voting lesser evil is not a rational choice

The premise of voting the lesser evil is that the two parties actually compete for voters on the grounds of Hotelling's principle of minimum differentiation. The idea is that both competitors gravitate to the "center tendency" in the population they serve. Going for "lesser evil" makes sense because while both competitors are far removed from the extreme positions, they are not equidistant to those positions - i.e. one is somewhat closer to one position than the other. Therefore, voting for the one that is somewhat closer is more beneficial than voting for one that is somewhat more distant.
However, I think this premise is false. The two political parties do not compete for voters, but collude with each other to control government and sell political patronage to wealthy sponsors. To do this, they need to minimize voter influence instead of competing for voters. This pov is supported by studies cf. Walter Karp "Indispensable Enemies" or a recent Glies and Paige study.
This, of course does not mean that both parties do not compete for voters at all, but rather that they selectively disfranchise those segments of the population that are likely to challenge the party monopoly and its business of selling political patronage to those in a position to pay for it. It is not election in any meaningful sense but erecting Potemkin villages by busing supporters to create an illusion of democracy.
In this game of bi-partisan collusion, political patronage peddling, and voter influence minimization, the "lesser evil" argument is not a "median voter" choice but a stratagem used by both parties to keep voters in line and make them vote for each other instead seeking alternatives to the two party monopoly. It is not much different than two rival gangs demanding protection money on the threat that the other gang will do more damage if the ransom is not paid.
On this premise - voting lesser evil is not rational. In fact it is rather detrimental to voters' interests as it assures the continuation of the bipartisan protection racket that robs voters of not just political representation but their tax money as well. It is far more rational to take risks and go for alternatives to BOTH parties. It is more rational because voting for "lesser" or "greater" evil will almost certainly produce no benefits to the voters, while voting for an alternative have a small but real chance of ending this bipartisan monopoly and their protection racket.

Wednesday, May 18, 2016

Docta ignorantia or why lay people reject science

Why do lay people doubt or outright reject science?  Why do they deny scientific claims such as climate change, evolution, effects of additions on human brain, biological and environmental effects on cognitive abilities, expert findings on the causes of highly publicized disasters etc.? Popular answers circulated by academics and intellectuals stipulate two possibilities: that lay people are either stupid, brainwashed or both.   They either are not as rational as the learned folk are, and thus cannot grasp the intricate complexity of connections that the superior minds can see, or they are consumed by irrational passions, such as bigotry, ideology, or religion that clouds their judgment (“motivate cognition” is the technical term). 

Aside the fact that these “explanations” are self-serving, as they perpetuate the myth of the superiority of the learned folk who circulate these stories, they are not explanations at all.  They are thinly disguised attempts to demonize people who disagree with us instead of a far more intellectually challenging task of trying to understand how those people actually think.  The shortcoming of these explanations become evident when we realize that these supposedly dumb and biased people behave quite rationally in most aspects of everyday life.  Folks who deny the laws of thermodynamics as they apply to the climate, nonetheless accept in any other area of life – they would never deny for example that car interiors or hot houses heat up to a much higher temperature than the outside temperature.  Folks who deny the effects of evolution on the human species, nonetheless rely on those effects when breeding chicken, dogs, horses or plants.  So clearly the lay folks are not as irrational as the university credentialed folks want us to believe.
To solve this puzzle we first need to examine the nature of scientific claims themselves. A good starting point of this inquiry is the times when science as we understand it today, i.e. deductive reasoning based on systematic empirical observations, was struggling and competing for recognition with other forms of human cognition.  Although few people today doubt the ability of science to penetrate and explain the universe, that proposition was not so obvious when science could not claim the accomplishments that the modern science can.  The problem that the learned folk in these supposedly “dark” ages faced was quite real and can be summarized as follows: given the narrow limits of human cognitive capacity and the infinite nature of the subject matter that humans attempt to understand (whether its deity or the nature itself), how can we say that we know anything at all?  There are only two possible solutions of this problem, either reject the possibility of any true knowledge at all, or to claim that true knowledge can be derived from sources other than scientific reasoning. 

The first answer is a non-starter for people who make their living by creating knowledge, so the philosophers naturally opted for the second solution. Thus, the 15th century German philosopher Nicolas of Cusa claimed that true knowledge must necessarily involve both rational and extra-rational means, a synthesis which he called docta ignorantia (learned ignorance).  Rational in this context means deductive reasoning (especially mathematics), whereas non-rational means are less clear.  In the conventional theological interpretation it is religious faith as laid out and endorsed by ecclesiastic g authorities, but in the mystic tradition it implies a special human capacity of insight or seeing things ‘as they are.’  Thus, the 13th century Italian philosopher Saint Bonaventure talks about the highest state of knowledge (apex mentis) achieved through spiritual union with deity, while the 17th century Dutch philosopher Baruch Spinoza identifies this source of highest knowledge as intuition or knowledge derived directly (rather than through deduction) from an adequate idea of attributes of god (or nature, which in Spinoza’s system is one and the same thing).

The critical element here is the belief that knowledge is not based on reason alone, that is, something else is needed to transform reasoning into knowledge.  The particular solutions of what that something is that the philosophers provided are not important, what really matters is the concept of knowledge as a synthesis of the rational (i.e. deductive and empirical) and the non-rational (not to be confused with irrational) components.  With that in mind, it is quite possible to be rational and reject science at the same time.  All one needs to do is to question the non-rational components of scientific knowledge.  This provides a partial answer to our puzzle why otherwise rational lay people sometimes doubt scientific claims.  However, to provide a fuller answer we need to examine what that non-rational component of science is.

The solutions provided by the medieval philosophers – the claim of a special cognitive faculty- have one shortcoming, they all boarder on circular reasoning, or assuming the answer in their premises.  That is, the claim to that special faculty – apex mentis or intuition – is valid only if we assume that we have true knowledge of it, that is, if we assume that we have that special faculty.  So we need to look elsewhere. One promising place is the work of the contemporary French sociologist Bruno Latour who examined the actual process by which science is actually created.
Contrary to how they are presented in scientific literature, scientific facts do not emerge from nature by themselves, they are derived from it by humans.  I use the term “derived” rather than “constructed” to avoid certain misleading post-modernist interpretations of science as a collection purely subjective claims.  Such views are a modern version of the first answer to the medieval question about the possibility of knowledge – that no objective knowledge exists.  We reject that interpretation because it is self-contradicting, as it necessarily implies its opposite – that at least one claim about the subjectivity of knowledge is objective.  But I am digressing.

Latour’s work focuses on the process of the derivation of scientific facts.  This process starts with claims made by people who engage in scientific research.  Claims are not facts until they are accepted as facts by the scientific community.  Today, we may consider the Earth orbiting the Sun to be the fact, but it was anything but a fact in the Middle Ages when the ‘established fact’ was that every celestial body orbits the Earth.  What is more, that medieval “fact” was what everyone could see with their own eyes whereas we do not see the modern fact of Earth orbiting the Sun.  So in the period of a few hundred years, a fact ceased to be a fact and became an unsupported claim, and another claim about the very same reality became a fact.  How did that happen? 

Latour’s answer to this question is: by a social process of convincing sufficient number of people that a claim made by a researcher is, in fact, a fact.  The initial research claim if far from being a fact. It can go unnoticed and soon be forgotten, it can be contested by others and rejected, or it can be examined by others and eventually accepted as fact, if enough scientists accept its validity.  It is therefore clear that the acceptance of others is a critical element of establishing facts, that is, modern knowledge. Although evidence plays a critical role in that process, procurement of that evidence itself requires convincing  others.  It is so, because the procurement of evidence requires considerable resources, research funds, laboratories, research programs, expeditions that involve many people – those who control the resources necessary to finance these endeavors, and those who are willing to engage in those endeavors rather than in other less risky pursuits.  The bottom line is that science is produced by a group of people collaborating with each other in different capacities on establishing or ‘deriving from nature’ scientific facts.  Stated differently, the production of science has two components – one rational based on empirical observation and deductive reasoning and one social (i.e. non-rational) based on collaboration of people involved in the process of establishing or deriving facts.

Latour describes this social element of modern knowledge as a “network” – which implies a relatively small number of individuals, including scientists, sponsors, promoters, publicists, or implementers, all of whom have stakes in the success of a particular research program.  This implies the existence of efficient means of communication among network members, which means not having to explain anew what has been already accepted or “stock knowledge” in sociological lingo, using specialized technical language or jargon , and knowledge of what other members of the network are doing.  The “network” concept also implies that the group of involved individuals is spread and embedded in different socio-cultural settings that are not a part of their networks, including family members, neighbors, communities, countries. 

This social division between scientific networks and broader communities in which these networks are embedded explains, in my view, the roots of the rejection of scientific claims by the lay public, or certain segments of that public.  There are two inter-related elements of that explanation – one linked to communication and the other one to power relations. 

The communication element is linked to a difficulty that members of scientific networks have in communicating with non-members.  One aspect of that difficulty is the specialized technical language or jargon that non-members may not understand.  But a more critical aspect is what sociologists call ‘stock knowledge’ or knowledge that members of a particular social group treat as self-evident and accepted on faith without further proof.  One of the most important insights of Latour’s work is that scientists accept most scientific facts on faith, without further proof.  This is, of course necessary, because current science is based on vast amount of previous research already accepted by the scientific community or assumed as valid in building scientific instruments.  No researcher has the time or expertise to verify each of these previous claims anew, and any attempt to do so would not only distract him from his current research but also cast doubt about his knowledge of science. 

This may be obvious to members to scientific networks, but not necessarily to the lay public.  When scientists communicates something as a “fact” they assumes that there has been a long and arduous process of establishing this fact, claims and counter-claims, evidence and counter-evidence and increasingly greater number of scientists accepting the claim until it has become accepted as “fact.” An individual scientist may not be familiar with all the specifics, but she knows that this is the process and no claim would be considered a “fact” in scientific community if it did not successfully went through this process.  But that ‘stock knowledge’ of scientific networks gets lost in translation in communication with the lay public.  The lay public does not know the process by which a claim becomes a fact in scientific discourse.  All they see is claims accepted on faith or at best by reference to opinion of other people.  Those other people are, of course, scientists who provided the evidence, but members of the general public do not know that.  All they hear is that some guy the scientist knows says it is true, which is indistinguishable from claims made by some guy on the internet.

Scientists themselves have difficulty communicating the results of their research to non-scientists because they have very little practice doing it.  They communicate mainly with other scientists and do not need to justify their ‘stock knowledge.’  So if someone starts questioning that stock knowledge, they become annoyed as the subjects of the well-know ‘breaching experiments’ of the sociologist Harold Garfinkel, in which the experimenter deliberately questioned commonly accepted social norms and understanding.  As a consequence of such lay questioning, the scientists become defensive and dismissive, which the lay persons see as arrogance and patronizing.

The power relation element is linked to the fact scientific networks are frequently linked to power networks.  Not only people who occupy positions of power in a society are often members of scientific networks as sponsors, but the scientific research is used as an instrument of power.  Policy decisions are ostensibly based on scientific studies – for example, authorities may implement or refuse to implement a project claiming studies showing  supposed economic or environmental impact.  But more importantly science is directly linked to power exercised by elite over commoners.  The so called ‘scientific management’ or Taylorism was a deliberate tool to control and discipline workers.  Information technology is routinely used for the same purpose – to scrutinize, to discipline, and to punish.  Last but not least, social science, psychology and economics are widely used to discipline workers, manipulate and defraud consumers, to deny access to education or public services, to justify discrimination, and to spread political propaganda.  The “science” behind this research and surveys is often flimsy or outright fraud, but does not stop it from being used as a policy instrument. 

It does not take an Ivy League PhD to see a connection between science and exercise of power by the elite.  The general public may not be able to properly debunk the flimsy assumptions and procedures underlying this science, but they clearly see that science is being used against them.  So they have every reason to reject these claims regardless of their scientific merits or lack thereof.  Far from being irrational stubbornness in accepting the facts, this rejection is a rational and very sensible reaction against uses of science as an instrument of class war.


So next time you hear some smarty-panty PhD pontificating about stupid people denying science, you may tell him that it is the karma of the Brahmin and the pundit class.  Not only do they fail to communicate what they know but they prostitute it in the name of power and profit.  People see through their bullshit and react rationally to it, and the expertocracy should be thankful for that.  Had they been less rational, they would have brought guns and pitchforks to the conversation. 

Monday, May 9, 2016

Review of Thomas Frank, "Listen Liberal"

In this book the author takes another stab at one of the biggest paradoxes of American politics – why the political parties in the US do not represent the interests of their largest constituencies.  The short answer that Frank gives to this question is “betrayal of the working and the middle classes” by the leadership of both parties.  His previous work that gained international recognition, “What is the Matter with Kansas?” explores the process of capturing the “angry white voters” by the Republican Party leaders by manipulating anti-elite feelings (anti-liberal elite, to be more exact) of this group of voters.  In this book, he extends his exploration to trace how that group of voters was pushed away from the Democratic Party that used to represent their interests under the “New Deal” arrangement. 

Frank traces the roots of this process to the Vietnam War era struggles, when the anti-war protests created a rift within the party between the pro-war blue collar labor and their unions and the anti-war students and intellectuals.  The loss of the 1968 election to Richard Nixon sent the Democratic Party leadership on a long soul searching quest, in which the new social forces represented by professional and academic elites wrestled the control of the party from the labor unions and tied it to the socio-economic classes created by the “New Economy” – financial professionals and information technology specialists.  This process was finalized by Clinton administration that performed one of the most spectacular turn-arounds in modern American history –the open abandonment of social protections favoring the poor and passage of the free trade agreement that eliminated large number of well-paying blue collar jobs (which the Clinton administration called “counter-scheduling”) coupled with deregulation of financial markets that opened the door for financial speculation, and massive subsidies for “innovation economy,” that is, information technology and big pharma.

These policies continued under Obama administration, which abandoned the campaign promise of “hope” for the notion of “pragmatism,” which according to Frank is a subterfuge masquerading policy choices favoring the elites as historical or technological inevitability.  Despite his pro-working and middle class rhetoric, Obama filled his administration with experts of one particular mold – graduates of elite universities.  In sharp contrast to FDR, who picked experts from various backgrounds, often representing unorthodox opinions, Obama’s “expertocracy” was the paragon of professional orthodoxy and right thinking.  Frank explains this selection of experts by Obama, and Clinton’s, own personal histories – both men were of humble origins and propelled to the top of social hierarchy by elite university education.

Social science explanations of historical evens range between two polar opposites – voluntaristic and deterministic.  The voluntaristic narratives, also known as “great men history”, attribute the causes of the events they try to explain to the preferences and choices made by individuals, especially those in leadership positions.  The deterministic narratives, by contrast focus on impersonal factors – institutions, international relations, modes of production, natural events and the like that set the stage and define the roles for individual actors to play.  Of course, in reality both factors must be taken into account.  As Karl Marx aptly observed “Men make their own history, but they do not make it as they please; they do not make it under self-selected circumstances, but under circumstances existing already, given and transmitted from the past.”

Frank’s narrative falls on the voluntaristic side.  His explanation of why the Democratic Party does not represent the interests of its largest constituency is grounded in the moral judgment of its leadership.  The judgment that prefers “meritocracy” or social hierarchy built on the claim to superiority based on (actual or claimed) knowledge to social solidarity, which is the underlying principle of organized labor. The remedy that Frank offers is voluntaristic as well – it explicitly denies the possibility of any change in the US political party structure and calls for a moral transformation of party leadership consisting in the abandonment of the sense of moral superiority linked to college credentials. 

For someone who spent his entire adult life in the academia, Frank’s analysis certainly rings true.  This institution is filled with “stuffed shirts” who raise to the top by becoming adept in what passes for “right thinking” at the moment, hiding their lack of originality under obscure technical jargon, and collecting handsome rent from their credentials, titles, and positions.  Allowing this bunch near the halls of power can indeed be risky.  As William F. Buckley quipped “I'd rather entrust the government of the United States to the first 400 people listed in the Boston telephone directory than to the faculty of Harvard University.”  Yet this moral explanation and moral remedy that Frank offers is somewhat disappointing when we consider the fact that similar transformations occurred in socialist and social democratic parties in many European countries as well.  This coincidence cannot be simply explained by the change of heart of the people leading those parties.  We must look into the structural determinants.

What structural elements are missing from Frank’s narrative, then?  One clue can be found in his bibliography – despite impressive documentation of his claims, his bibliography misses a rather obscure work by Walter Karp titled “Indispensable Enemies”.  This book attempts to answer the same question as Frank’s work does – why the US political parties do not represent the interests of their constituents – but the answer it provides emphasizes the structure of the party system rather than preferences of their leaders.  Karp’s explanation is a variant of what is known as Robert Michels’ “iron law of oligarchy” which in essence claims that the leadership of an institution is first and foremost concerned about its own power within the institution rather than the power of the institution itself.  In case of US political parties, the party bosses are more concerned with keeping their control of their respective parties than with winning elections, and they tacitly cooperate by excluding any challenge to their leadership by dividing up their respective turfs in which they maintain their respective monopolies.  Paradoxical as it may sound, such behavior is well known outside politics where it is referred to as oligopoly or niche seeking. 

Karp’s thesis offers a much better explanation of the abandonment of the working class and middle class constituents by both parties than the preference for meritocracy claimed by Frank.  Even from Frank’s own account of the Democratic Party’s ‘soul searching’ in the aftermath of Humphrey’s defeat in 1968 it is evident that that the emerging party leadership was not afraid of losing a series of elections (McGovern, Mondale, Dukakis) before they could cement their hold on the party under Clinton.  Clearly, a party whose leadership’s main goal is to win elections would not make such a cardinal mistake as losing elections for 20 years by abandoning their core constituency.  Likewise, Obama’s abandonment of the “hope” promise led to a spectacular loss of both houses of Congress and numerous state legislatures, but that did not persuade the party leadership to change the course.  Au contraire, they are determined to keep the course and undermine any challenge to the party leadership (cf. Sanders).  This is not the behavior of a general who wants to win a war (cf. Robert E. Lee), but of one who wants to keep his position in his own army (cf. George Brinton McClellan).


Taking into account Karp’s explanation of partisan politics would also offer a far more dramatic finale for Frank’s book.  Instead pleading for a moral change in the existing party leadership, a more effective solution would be to replace that leadership with a new one by using the same gambit of counter-scheduling as Clinton did against labor, and voting against Hillary Clinton in November.  That would surely result in the electoral loss for the Democrats in the coming election, but it would certainly help to wrestle the control of the party from the leaders who “betrayed” their main constituents.  Perhaps this is not the road that Frank, and many life-long Democrats for that matter, are willing to travel, but it certainly makes a better and more uplifting story - one that gives the downtrodden masses, whose side Frank takes, a promise of doing something about the problem instead of pleading their superiors, hat in hand, for a change of heart.